Trading Domain Hub
This is the canonical navigation hub for the BetterBets trading platform — prediction markets, financial instruments, and automated trading strategies. This domain is currently PLANNED/BLOCKED. No live trading infrastructure exists today. All 5 compliance blockers (B1-B5) from the BetterBets EU entity plan are unresolved. Read this hub to understand what is planned, what is blocked, and what must resolve before execution. For related blockchain trading, see crypto. For sports-specific markets, see sports-betting.
Quick reference
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Business state | planned |
| Revenue today | no |
| Regulatory layer | CFTC (prediction markets); SEC (potential securities exposure); state-specific |
| Compliance block | yes — B1 CPA review, B2 Binance UBO policy, B3 PR Act 60, B4 Polymarket legal, B5 Binance×PR — ALL OPEN |
| Primary agent | n/a (pre-operational) |
| Supporting agents | n/a (pre-operational) |
| Integration cluster | supabase (data layer when live) |
| Active plans | betterbets-eu-entity-estonia-oue |
| Team owner | henry-founder |
| Live deal count / volume | n/a — pre-operational |
⚠️ Compliance block — CANNOT TRADE TODAY
All 5 BetterBets EU blockers are OPEN as of 2026-05-04:
| Blocker | Description | Status |
|---|---|---|
| B1 | CPA review of Estonia OÜ entity structure | OPEN |
| B2 | Binance UBO policy — Henry as UBO declaration | OPEN |
| B3 | Puerto Rico Act 60 interaction with EU entity | OPEN |
| B4 | Polymarket legal review (CFTC jurisdiction) | OPEN |
| B5 | Binance × Puerto Rico residency conflict | OPEN |
Result: No real-money trading, no API key activation for live trading, no market position creation until ALL blockers are resolved. Designated person at Binance = “Authorized Account Trader” (Step 10 of Binance KYB). Plan: betterbets-eu-entity-estonia-oue.
EU node (planned): Hetzner Frankfurt €5.10/mo — provisioned but not yet live for trading.
Domain members (integrations)
Note: Tier 4 integration hubs (Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, Binance, Deribit, Hyperliquid) are deferred. Forward-references only. Full hub authoring planned for Wave 4+ when trading becomes pre-launch.
- supabase — Will serve as trade log + position DB when operational
- hetzner — EU node host (Frankfurt; €5.10/mo)
[[wiki/_hubs/integrations/polymarket]]— Prediction market (Tier 4 deferred; B4 legal review pending)[[wiki/_hubs/integrations/kalshi]]— CFTC-regulated prediction exchange (Tier 4 deferred; cross-link sports-betting)[[wiki/_hubs/integrations/binance]]— Crypto spot/futures (Tier 4 deferred; B2 + B5 open; see crypto)[[wiki/_hubs/integrations/deribit]]— Options/derivatives (Tier 4 deferred; see crypto)
Active agents in this domain
| Agent | Role | Status |
|---|---|---|
| n/a | No trading agents deployed | pre-operational |
Planned architecture (post-blocker resolution):
- Signal agent: market data ingestion + opportunity scoring
- Execution agent: order submission + position management
- Risk agent: drawdown monitoring + kill switch
- All agents: route through portkey → anthropic
Business status
Current state: Planned. BetterBets EU entity (Estonia OÜ) is the legal vehicle. EU node is identified (Hetzner Frankfurt). Binance Authorized Account Trader step documented. No accounts are funded, no API keys active for live trading, no positions open.
Dependency chain before going live:
- B1: CPA review → Estonia OÜ structure confirmed
- B2: Binance UBO declaration → account KYB complete
- B3: PR Act 60 legal opinion → confirm no conflict
- B4: Polymarket legal → jurisdiction clear
- B5: Binance × PR → account access confirmed
- Then: fund accounts → activate API keys → deploy signal + execution agents
Cross-domain dependencies:
- crypto — shares same B1-B5 blockers (Binance is dual-listed)
- sports-betting — shares same B1-B5 blockers (Kalshi/Manifold)
- ai-osil — OSIL Tier 4 deferred pending domain go-live
Compliance considerations
| Layer | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| CFTC (prediction markets) | B4 open | Polymarket jurisdiction review pending |
| SEC | Review needed | Crypto instruments may implicate securities law |
| PR Act 60 | B3 open | Tax treatment of EU entity income from PR residence |
| Estonia OÜ | B1 open | CPA review of corporate structure |
| Binance KYB | B2 + B5 open | UBO declaration + PR residency conflict |
| G-NO-PLAINTEXT-CREDS | Enforced | All future API keys via op://Aurora/<platform>/<field> only |
Related plans (P0/P1 active)
| Plan | Priority | Status |
|---|---|---|
| betterbets-eu-entity-estonia-oue | P1 | 5 blockers OPEN — cannot proceed |
Sibling domain plans (shared blockers):
- betterbets-eu-entity-estonia-oue — also governs crypto + sports-betting
Tier 4 integration hubs — DEFERRED
The following integration hubs are planned for Wave 4+ (after trading reaches pre-launch status):
| Integration | Type | Blocker |
|---|---|---|
[[wiki/_hubs/integrations/polymarket]] | Prediction market | B4 legal |
[[wiki/_hubs/integrations/kalshi]] | CFTC exchange | B1-B5 |
[[wiki/_hubs/integrations/manifold]] | Play-money market | B1 entity |
[[wiki/_hubs/integrations/binance]] | Crypto exchange | B2 + B5 |
[[wiki/_hubs/integrations/interactive-brokers]] | Equities | B1 entity |
Related cluster: Business domain cluster
| Domain | Hub | Business state |
|---|---|---|
| Real estate | real-estate | revenue-generating |
| Trading | trading | planned (this hub) |
| Crypto | crypto | planned |
| Sports betting | sports-betting | planned |
| AI / OSIL | ai-osil | pre-launch (Phase 0 done) |
Open issues / TODOs
- B1: CPA review of Estonia OÜ structure — requires Henry to engage CPA
- B2: Binance UBO policy — requires Henry to submit KYB documentation
- B3: Puerto Rico Act 60 legal opinion — requires attorney review
- B4: Polymarket legal review — CFTC jurisdiction question
- B5: Binance × Puerto Rico residency conflict — requires legal clarification
- Tier 4 integration hubs: deferred until B1-B5 resolved
- Trading agent architecture: design pending blocker resolution
Recent activity
- 2026-05-04: domain hub created (Wave 3 W3-S3)
- 2026-04-18: BetterBets EU entity plan authored — 5 blockers identified
- 2026-05-03: OSIL Tier 4 deferred pending trading domain go-live