Sports Betting Domain Hub
This is the canonical navigation hub for OpenClaw’s planned sports betting and prediction market infrastructure — covering Sportradar data, EquinEdge horse racing AI, Kalshi event contracts, Manifold play-money markets, and UFC/MMA handicapping. This domain is currently PLANNED/BLOCKED by the same BetterBets EU compliance blockers (B1-B5) that gate trading and crypto. Exception: The horse-racing skill provides pure handicapping (no real-money bets) and is operational today. Read this hub for architecture intent, what is live today vs. planned, and blocker status.
Quick reference
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Business state | planned |
| Revenue today | no |
| Regulatory layer | State gambling laws (wire betting); CFTC (Kalshi event contracts); Wire Act (federal) |
| Compliance block | yes — B1-B5 ALL OPEN; see betterbets-eu-entity-estonia-oue |
| Primary agent | n/a (pre-operational; horse-racing handicapping skill only) |
| Supporting agents | n/a (pre-operational) |
| Integration cluster | supabase (data); Sportradar + EquinEdge (Tier 4 deferred) |
| Active plans | betterbets-eu-entity-estonia-oue |
| Team owner | henry-founder |
| Live deal count / volume | n/a — pre-operational |
⚠️ Compliance block — CANNOT BET TODAY
Same 5 blockers as trading and crypto. All OPEN as of 2026-05-04:
| Blocker | Description | Status |
|---|---|---|
| B1 | CPA review of Estonia OÜ entity structure | OPEN |
| B2 | Binance UBO policy (blocks funding vehicle) | OPEN |
| B3 | Puerto Rico Act 60 interaction with EU entity | OPEN |
| B4 | Polymarket/Kalshi legal review — CFTC event contracts | OPEN |
| B5 | Binance × Puerto Rico residency conflict | OPEN |
Sports-betting-specific additional risks:
- Kalshi: CFTC-regulated event contracts; requires US entity or authorized trader — B4 is a direct gate
- Manifold: play-money only (no regulatory risk); operational immediately after B1 entity setup
- Sportradar: data subscription — no regulatory barrier; can be activated independently
- EquinEdge: AI handicapping tool — no regulatory barrier; API access pending subscription
- Wire Act: US federal prohibition on interstate sports bets over wire — impacts online platform choice
What IS operational today (no bet placement):
- horse-racing — handicapping analysis only; outputs recommendations, does NOT place bets
- betterbets-ufc — UFC handicapping skill; fight-night analysis; does NOT auto-bet trigger
- EquinEdge research: manual analysis via EquinEdge platform (no automated integration)
Domain members (integrations)
Tier 4 deferred. All betting platform integrations (except Sportradar data subscription) are forward-references. Full hub authoring planned for Wave 4+ when domain reaches pre-launch.
- supabase — Will serve as bet log, edge tracking, ROI analytics
[[wiki/_hubs/integrations/sportradar]]— Tier 4 deferred; live sports data API; odds feeds; game stats; KB stub exists (knowledge-base/sportradar/)[[wiki/_hubs/integrations/sportsdataio]]— Tier 4 deferred; backup sports data provider; KB stub exists (knowledge-base/sportsdataio/)[[wiki/_hubs/integrations/kalshi]]— Tier 4 deferred; CFTC-regulated event contracts; B4 gate; KB stub exists (knowledge-base/kalshi/)[[wiki/_hubs/integrations/manifold]]— Tier 4 deferred; play-money prediction market; lowest regulatory barrier; KB stub exists (knowledge-base/manifold/)[[wiki/_hubs/integrations/metaculus]]— Tier 4 deferred; forecasting platform; no gambling regulation; KB stub exists (knowledge-base/metaculus/)[[wiki/_hubs/integrations/equinedge]]— Tier 4 deferred; horse racing AI; subscription-gated; KB stub exists (knowledge-base/equinedge/)[[wiki/_hubs/integrations/odds]]— Tier 4 deferred; odds aggregation; KB stub exists (knowledge-base/odds/)
Active agents in this domain
| Agent | Role | Status |
|---|---|---|
| n/a | No betting agents deployed | pre-operational |
Active skills (handicapping only — no bet placement):
| Skill | Purpose | Status |
|---|---|---|
| horse-racing | Horse racing handicapping (Santa Anita, etc.); outputs recommendations | OPERATIONAL (no bets) |
| betterbets-ufc | UFC fight-night handicapping + auto-bet trigger (trigger NOT wired to live books) | OPERATIONAL (no live bets) |
Planned agent architecture (post-blocker resolution):
- Data ingestion agent: Sportradar + EquinEdge feeds → Supabase (Haiku)
- Edge-scoring agent: handicapping model inference (Sonnet)
- Bet-execution agent: Kalshi/DraftKings order placement (Sonnet; requires B4 clear)
- Risk agent: bankroll management + Kelly criterion sizing (Haiku)
Business status
Current state: Planned. Handicapping skills are operational for analysis only. No live betting infrastructure. No funded accounts. No real-money positions.
KB stubs available (SOURCE PARTIAL — audit-only or minimal content):
workspace/knowledge-base/sportradar/— data API patternsworkspace/knowledge-base/sportsdataio/— backup data providerworkspace/knowledge-base/kalshi/— event contract APIworkspace/knowledge-base/manifold/— prediction market APIworkspace/knowledge-base/metaculus/— forecasting APIworkspace/knowledge-base/equinedge/— horse racing AIworkspace/knowledge-base/odds/— odds aggregation
Progression path to live betting:
- B1-B5 resolution (shared with trading + crypto)
- Manifold first (play-money, lowest barrier) → validate edge model
- Kalshi (CFTC event contracts) → requires B4 legal clear
- Sportradar subscription → activate data feed
- EquinEdge subscription → activate horse racing AI
- Deploy betting agents behind kill switch + bankroll floor
Compliance considerations
| Layer | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Wire Act (federal) | Must comply | Interstate online betting restrictions; use offshore-eligible entity |
| State gambling laws | B1/B3 dependency | PR + Estonia OÜ entity determines eligibility |
| CFTC (Kalshi) | B4 open | Event contracts are CFTC-regulated |
| EquinEdge ToS | Review needed | API use for automated betting may require approval |
| Sportradar licensing | Review needed | Commercial data usage requires media/tech license tier |
| G-NO-PLAINTEXT-CREDS | Enforced | All betting API keys via op://Aurora/<platform>/<field> |
Related plans (P0/P1 active)
| Plan | Priority | Status |
|---|---|---|
| betterbets-eu-entity-estonia-oue | P1 | 5 blockers OPEN — gates entire domain |
Sibling domain plans (shared blockers):
- trading — prediction markets overlap (Kalshi, Manifold, Polymarket)
- crypto — funding vehicle overlap (Binance B2+B5)
Tier 4 integration hubs — DEFERRED
| Platform | Type | Primary blocker |
|---|---|---|
[[wiki/_hubs/integrations/sportradar]] | Sports data API | Subscription only (can activate independently) |
[[wiki/_hubs/integrations/sportsdataio]] | Sports data backup | Subscription only |
[[wiki/_hubs/integrations/kalshi]] | CFTC event contracts | B4 legal |
[[wiki/_hubs/integrations/manifold]] | Play-money market | B1 entity (lowest barrier) |
[[wiki/_hubs/integrations/metaculus]] | Forecasting | No gambling regulation |
[[wiki/_hubs/integrations/equinedge]] | Horse racing AI | Subscription only |
[[wiki/_hubs/integrations/odds]] | Odds aggregator | Subscription + B4 |
All Tier 4 hubs authored in Wave 4+ after B1-B5 resolved (or independently if no regulatory barrier).
Related cluster: Business domain cluster
| Domain | Hub | Business state |
|---|---|---|
| Real estate | real-estate | revenue-generating |
| Trading | trading | planned |
| Crypto | crypto | planned |
| Sports betting | sports-betting | planned (this hub) |
| AI / OSIL | ai-osil | pre-launch (Phase 0 done) |
Open issues / TODOs
- B1-B5: all blockers require resolution before any real-money betting infrastructure goes live
- Kalshi B4: CFTC event contract legal opinion — engage attorney
- Wire Act: confirm offshore entity (Estonia OÜ) adequately addresses US federal restriction
- Manifold: lowest-barrier entry — can pilot with play-money immediately after B1 entity
- Sportradar subscription: no regulatory barrier — can activate independently of B1-B5 for data analysis
- EquinEdge API terms: review for automated betting use case
- Tier 4 hubs: deferred; author after domain reaches pre-launch
Recent activity
- 2026-05-04: domain hub created (Wave 3 W3-S3)
- 2026-05-03: sportradar, sportsdataio, kalshi, manifold, metaculus, equinedge, odds KB stubs added per G-KB-SYNC-WITH-CLAUDEMD audit
- 2026-05-03: horse-racing + betterbets-ufc skills confirmed operational (handicapping only)
- 2026-04-18: BetterBets EU entity plan authored — B1-B5 identified